This week,
while the people of Louisiana are once again battening down the hatches in the
face of yet another hurricane, Florida is playing host to political pomp and
ceremony as the Republican Party officially launches its fight to take back the
White House.
Today, the
Convention is fighting a losing battle against a global media rightly focused
on the devastation being wrought upon New Orleans and the rest of the Gulf
Coast, exactly seven years after Hurricane Katrina tore the famous old city
apart.
But that
will all change tomorrow when Mitt Romney takes to the stage in Tampa and
formally accepts his party’s nomination for President. After a long, slow-death
primary campaign, his name and face are widely recognised across America, but
beyond its shores, not a lot is known about Mr Romney the politician, and even
less about Mr Romney the man. That is a problem.
In fact,
to judge from some of his high-profile policy deviations, it might even be
quite difficult for his electorate to know exactly what he stands for.
As
Governor of Massachusetts, he pushed through healthcare legislation that was
widely seen as a template for President Obama’s radical healthcare reform… yet
he now denounces the ill-fated federal project and demands its repeal on
(right-wing friendly) grounds of individual liberty.
Last
week’s controversy regarding some Republicans’ views on abortion brought into
focus Mr Romney’s record on the issue, to which he has taken a somewhat softer
approach in the past than the explicitly pro-life position he assumed during
the primaries. His recent uncharacteristically hard line on immigration – a hot
topic in American politics of late – is another cause for scepticism.
Finally,
there is the subject that tops the priority lists of almost all American voters
– the economy.
The last
two years (since the mid-term elections in which the Republicans made huge
gains) have been dominated by a battle of wills between the two sides in
Congress that has led the federal government perilously close to bankruptcy and
brought Washington politics into disrepute.
All of
this is because Congressmen and women are unable to reconcile the Democrats’
desire to balance the books mainly through tax rises for the wealthiest and the
Republicans’ zeal for shrinking the role of the state through spending cuts on
everything except defence.
If ever
any US Presidential election looked likely to be settled on a single issue, it
is this one.
The two
candidates not only advocate different solutions to America’s current fiscal mess
– not to mention the slow recovery of jobs and output from the recession and
financial crisis – but they represent a nation that is ideologically polarised
to a degree not seen in a generation.
No wonder
the election is too close to call; it may well come down to which side can animate
its supporters most effectively to drive up favourable turnout – in the usual
swing states, and some unexpected ones. The Republicans believe that although
Mr Obama is mobilising the same army of volunteers ‘in the field’ that helped
him sweep to victory four years ago, the message is not being swallowed quite
so easily by an electorate feeling let down by failed policies and broken
promises.
No wonder,
also, that Mr Romney – a relatively centrist, consensus candidate – has chosen
Paul Ryan, an archetypal fiscal hawk revered by the Republican right, as his
running mate. The two may not see completely eye-to-eye on this and other key
issues, but it is hoped that choosing Mr Ryan allows Mr Romney to ‘cover all
bases’ and deflect criticism that he is ‘not Republican enough’.
The
lingering problem that I referred to earlier, though, is one that must be
addressed urgently, starting tomorrow night – a fear that to too many
Americans, the would-be President is not ‘like them’ enough. A
multi-millionaire venture capitalist-turned-state governor with an MBA from
Harvard and residences in 3 US states is unlikely to connect with the American
public in quite the same way as his eloquent but down-to-earth competitor.
Over the
course of the campaign, he may well get away with that. In the showpiece
debates that will follow in the coming months, he will get the chance to
impress by engaging with a political foe on an intellectual level; but in the
biggest speech of his life, he must look down the camera and convince the
American people that he should be their next leader.
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